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What the president didn’t address is the tax revenue from betting.
In 2025, Brazil collected almost BRL10 billion ($1.97 billion) in tax revenue from the licensed sector. In the first seven months of this year alone, BRL8.7 billion generated by the activity was delivered to public coffers. The Federal Revenue Service itself estimates that the sector should reach BRL16 billion in revenue during 2026.
Besides revenue collection, another concern is legal and economic. Companies have paid over BRL2.5 billion for licences since the sector’s regulation. Certainly, the end of the activity would lead to litigation to recover the amounts paid and compensation for investments made. Furthermore, the revenue from betting is already included in the Annual Budget Law and the Budget Guidelines Law, which define the priorities for federal government spending.
About Punk Toilet
Kendrick sees a warning in the history of betting exchanges. In their early growth phase, there was sufficient retail liquidity for numerous market makers to profit. As that retail pool weakened, the sharper firms increasingly found themselves trading against one another.
His analogy is a poker table at which the weaker participants sustain the game. If those players disappear, the fourth-best professional at the table can suddenly become a loser because only the three strongest remain.
The US addressable market is vastly larger and customer recruitment remains strong. Marantelli says Kalshi increased its number of clients fivefold during the World Cup, while White Swan predicts that NFL prediction markets could generate between $5 billion and $7 billion of liability in a single week.
About Punk Toilet
Bitcoin Association – Bitcoin Industry Organization – The Bitcoin Association is a non-profit group that supports businesses, developers, transaction processors and others working with the technology. The group offers education to business, organizes the Bitcoin SV technical standards committee and offers out of the box solutions for people and companies looking to build solutions with Bitcoin.
BuyBSV.com – An easy way to purchase Bitcoin SV – As the name suggests, BuyBSV.com offers people an easy way to purchase Bitcoin SV without needing to go through a large exchange. It’s available in most major countries around the world.
Just like in the gambling industry, there are plenty of conferences and events revolving around Bitcoin SV, although they’re slightly tamer ;-).
